Jumaat, 4 Januari 2013
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 04/01/2013
eurusd
Pivot: 1.3125.
Our preference: SHORT positions @ 1.3115 with 1.3015 & 1.297 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1.3125 will open the way to 1.317 & 1.3235.
Comment: the pair has broken below a strong intraday support and remains capped by a declining trend line, the RSI is rebounding but stands below its neutral area.
Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range
Key levels Comment
1.3235** Intraday resistance
1.317*** Intraday resistance
1.3125*** Intraday pivot point
1.3039 Last
1.3015*** Intraday support
1.297** Intraday support
1.2935** Intraday support
gbpusd
Pivot: 1.6140.
Our preference: SHORT positions @ 1.613 with 1.606 & 1.604 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.614 will call for 1.6175 & 1.62.
Comment: the pair stands below its new resistance and is challenging a nice support (previous low), a rebound should not be ruled ahead of further weakness as the RSI remains badly directed.
Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range
Key levels Comment
1.62*** Intraday resistance
1.6175** Intraday resistance
1.614*** Intraday pivot point
1.6076 Last
1.606** Intraday support
1.604** Intraday support
1.6*** Intraday support
usdjpy
Pivot: 87.10.
Our preference: LONG positions @ 87.2 with 88.15 & 88.6 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 87.1 will call for 86.75 & 86.5.
Comment: the pair has broken above a new resistance and remains on the upside within a bullish channel, the RSI remains well directed and below its overbought area.
Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range
Key levels Comment
89* Intraday resistance
88.6** Intraday resistance
88.15** Intraday resistance
87.73 Last
87.1** Intraday pivot point
86.75*** Intraday support
86.5** Intraday support
eurjpy
Pivot: 113.6
Our preference: Long @ 113.67 with targets @ 114.75 & 115.2 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 113.6 look for further downside with 113.25 & 112.9 as targets.
Comment: the pair has rebounded on a strong intraday support and has broken above a bearish channel upper boundary. Further advance is expected as the RSI stands above its neutral area.
Key levels
115.6
115.2
114.75
114.43 last
113.6
113.25
112.9
gold
Pivot: 1665.00
Our preference: SHORT positions below 1665 with 1635 & 1625 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1665 will call for a rebound towards 1675 & 1682.
Comment: the 50 moving average is heading down and the RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. As long as 1665 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
Trend: ST Ltd downside; MT Range
Key levels Comment
1682** Intraday resistance
1675** Fib retracement (61.8%)
1665** Intraday pivot point
1653.34 Last
1635** Previous low
1625*** Horizontal support
1610** Intraday support
nzdusd
Pivot: 0.83
Our preference: Short positions below 0.83 with targets @ 0.8205 & 0.8155 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.83 look for further upside with 0.835 & 0.839 as targets.
Comment: the break below 0.83 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 0.8205.
Key levels
0.839
0.835
0.83
0.8245 last
0.8205
0.8155
0.8105
audusd
Pivot: 1.047
Our preference: Short positions below 1.047 with targets @ 1.042 & 1.0405 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.047 look for further upside with 1.05 & 1.053 as targets.
Comment: After breaking below a rising trend line, the RSI is posting a potential bullish divergence. Those mixed signals are calling for caution.
Key levels
1.053
1.05
1.047
1.04455 last
1.042
1.0405
1.0385
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